Friday, April 17, 2015

Chance of Severe Storms on Sunday

We are watching a chance for severe storms to develop Sunday as a cold front approaches.  Right now, it appears the main threat will be damaging winds, although there is a chance for hail, too.  Right now, we are in the slight to enhanced risk area for severe storms.


There are 5 levels of risks: Marginal, Slight, Enhanced, Moderate and High Risk.  Here's what they mean:


 Your can hear my forecasts each weekday on Newstalk 94.7, 95.5, 570AM and 1320AM, along with The Mix 94.7 and Willie 102.1.  Remember, when the power's out, you can still hear our forecasts and live reports on these stations, too.


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Tuesday, April 7, 2015

Risk of Severe Storms Today-Tonight!

Watching for possible Severe Storms this afternoon and tonight!  The biggest threats are large hail and damaging winds, however a tornado or 2 can't be ruled out.  Also, heavy rainfall is possible!!!  The NWS Storm Prediction Center has us in the Enhanced Risk area for severe storms.

This is part of the NWS' reclassification of Severe Storms Risks. It used to be only 3 catagories: Slight Risk, Moderate Risk and High Risk. Now, there are 5 levels of risks: Marginal, Slight, Enhanced, Moderate and High Risk.  Here's what they mean:


 Your can hear my forecasts each weekday on Newstalk 94.7, 95.5, 570AM and 1320AM, along with The Mix 94.7 and Willie 102.1.  Remember, when the power's out, you can still hear our forecasts and live reports on these stations, too.


CURRENT CONDITIONS: 
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Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Risk of Severe Storms Wednesday!

Well spring has just begun and we've already got some spring storms headed our way, including the slight risk of severe storms to move in Wednesday/Wednesday night! The best chance for severe storms will be Western Kentucky, Southern Illinois and SE Missouri.  The biggest threat with these storms will be large hail and damaging winds as a cold front approaches.  On the backside of the front, temperatures will dip and we'll only see highs in the 50s for Thursday early and temperatures falling through the 40s through the day.



 Your can hear my forecasts each weekday on Newstalk 94.7, 95.5, 570AM and 1320AM, along with The Mix 94.7 and Willie 102.1.  Remember, when the power's out, you can still hear our forecasts and live reports on these stations, too.




CURRENT CONDITIONS: 
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Illinois        Missouri
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Monday, March 2, 2015

UPDATED: Snowfall Forecast for Winter Storm

We are now under a WINTER STORM WARNING for Wednesday into Wednesday Night with possible  heavy snowfall amounts and possible large amounts of sleet!  Snowfall amounts continue to trend UPWARD!

Take time NOW to prepare for these possible impacts:

1. Flooding could be a concern today and tonight with heavy rainfall on saturated ground.

2. Travel could be severely impacted Wednesday through Friday with heavy sleet and snow followed by VERY cold conditions, so it won't melt until the weekend.

3.Walking and working outside could be hazardous with ice and snow causing problems with footing, along with very cold conditions.

4. Make provisions for outdoor animals and pets including heat, shelter and food/water.

We'll begin with possible heavy rains with the possibility of some localized flooding as the ground is already saturated and we're looking at possible heavy rainfall amounts!

Wednesday, we'll have the chance for snow, along with rain and a wintry mix before changing over to all snow later on Wednesday or Wednesday night.  Temperatures will be falling through the 20s throughout the day.  While it's tough to say how many inches of SNOW we will get, it's safe to assume we will get A LOT of precipitation, some in the form of sleet and some in the form of snow.  The best chance for snow will be Wednesday night.  We could wind up with moderate to heavy sleet followed by several inches of snow. We could be looking at anywhere from 6 to 12 inches of snow for most of the area.  Depends when/where we see the changeover to all snow!  There should be LESS snow north of the Ohio River, and perhaps a little LESS snow around the KenTenn into NW Tennessee.
This model shows snow, along with snow/sleet in Western KY and NW Tennessee at 9PM Wednesday evening.
Estimated snowfall totals forcast
This is from the NWS in Memphis. Keep in mind, the accumulation totals we're giving are sleet and snow COMBINED!  In this case, the KenTenn is looking at 5-10" total.

Thursday will be dry but VERY COLD, with high temperatures only in the low 20s and Thursday night, overnight lows will drop down to the LOW SINGLE DIGITS!

Friday We should warm up close to the freezing mark, in the low 30s, but travel could still be affected.  We won't start thawing in earnest until the weekend, with temperatures Saturday and Sunday ABOVE FREEZING! (Don't forget also, Daylight Saving Time begins Sunday morning)


Better news next week as temperatures return to closer to normal for this time of year!

 Your can hear my forecasts each weekday on Newstalk 94.7, 95.5, 570AM and 1320AM, along with The Mix 94.7 and Willie 102.1.  Remember, when the power's out, you can still hear our forecasts and live reports on these stations, too.




CURRENT CONDITIONS: 
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Sunday, March 1, 2015

Possible Wintry Weather This Week

Although part of the region has a bit of a chance for some wintry mix tonight, looks like a better chance looms Wednesday and Wednesday Night.  Ironically, we'll actually be warming Monday and Tuesday.  In fact, Tuesday, we're looking at temperatures approaching the 60s, along with showers and storms before the arrival of more cold air.

Wednesday, we'll have the chance for snow, along with rain and a wintry mix before changing over to all snow late Wednesday and Wednesday night.  How much are we talking about? Tough to say but possibly as much as 3-7" of snow and sleet!  After that, we'll have a cold Thursday before starting to warm up again heading into the weekend.

 Your can hear my forecasts each weekday on Newstalk 94.7, 95.5, 570AM and 1320AM, along with The Mix 94.7 and Willie 102.1.  Remember, when the power's out, you can still hear our forecasts and live reports on these stations, too.



CURRENT CONDITIONS: 
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Illinois        Missouri
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Thursday, February 19, 2015

Friday Through Sunday: Snow, sleet, freezing rain and heavy rain. Look out!

We're going to see a full range of  winter weather over the next few days!  It begins with snow on Friday.  Shouldn't be much.  In fact the latest data indicates it should be less than 2 inches IF THAT.  The problem is that as a warm front rises through through the area, we'll likely see a changeover to sleet and freezing rain!  We could see some sleet accumulation during the process, but once again, we're talking minor.    As for the freeing rain, it will be less than a quarter inch, more like a tenth of an inch. (As a frame of reference,  Its usually around a quarter of an inch ice coating, when branches begin to break off).  This is NOWHERE NEAR what we saw during the ice storm in 2007, where ice was 1.5 to 2 inches thick on branches...

It looks like we'll generally see LIGHT AMOUNTS of snow, sleet and freezing but unclear exactly how much, and we should indeed see ALL THREE before the changeover to regular rain.

After the freezing rain, Friday night, as temperatures continue to rise, we'll switch over to regular rain Saturday, and we could see lots of it.  We're talking 2-3 inches, on top of the melting snow, etc....so that brings flooding and flash flooding into play and that probably should be our biggest concern going through the weekend!  Be prepared!

 Your can hear my forecasts each weekday on Newstalk 94.7, 95.5, 570AM and 1320AM, along with The Mix 94.7 and Willie 102.1.  Remember, when the power's out, you can still hear our forecasts and live reports on these stations, too.



CURRENT CONDITIONS: 
 Kentucky   Tennessee      
Illinois        Missouri
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Tuesday, February 17, 2015

More Snow /Winter Weather Possible...

We've got a couple of things of note which will be happening over the next 48 hours.  First of all, tonight, we could see another minor round of snow.  We're talking about an inch or 2 possible, but certainly nothing like Sunday night.

After that, MORE COLD air moves in, so that our HIGH temperatures on Wednesday and THursday will only be in the TEENS and our lows Wednesday night into Thursday morning will be BELOW ZERO!  After that, we'll begin warming  toward the weekend, with Saturday's highs making it into the 40s, but along with that, Friday into Saturday, we'll have a chance for freeing rain or snow, which should transition to rain as it warms on Saturday.

 Your can hear my forecasts each weekday on Newstalk 94.7, 95.5, 570AM and 1320AM, along with The Mix 94.7 and Willie 102.1.  Remember, when the power's out, you can still hear our forecasts and live reports on these stations, too.



CURRENT CONDITIONS: 
 Kentucky   Tennessee      
Illinois        Missouri
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RADAR:
Paducah   Memphis    
St Louis Ft Campbell     

SATELLITE:
Regional VIS   IFR      
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FORECASTS:

Hydrology: